Why India Is Poised to Lead in a Post-U.S. Peak World: How macro trends, commodity cycles, and shifting capital flows point toward India’s next big breakout. A Global Lens: Why Macro Matters? Macro isn’t about predicting the future — it’s about understanding the big picture. It connects the dots between bonds, equities, commodities, inflation, and currencies to explain why asset prices move the way they do. Using macro as a framework helps identify where we are in the global

5 Aug 2024 Contrary to popular belief, lower interest rates are not necessarily beneficial for the Indian economy. In fact, rising interest rates have historically proven to be advantageous for the stock prices of Indian companies, as evidenced by the correlation between Nifty 500 performance and 10-Year Bond Yields. While lower interest rates are often beneficial for developed markets like the US, which are heavily oriented towards technology, pharmaceuticals, and FMCG secto

May 13, 2024 Post-COVID, global commodities have entered a supercycle following nearly a decade of consolidation. Despite short-term dips, controlling inflation and interest rates is challenging during a commodities supercycle. Over the next 3-5 years, global commodities are expected to continue their upward trend. This scenario is highly beneficial for manufacturing-oriented developing economies like China and India but less favorable for more developed markets like the US.

23 February 2024 The European Central Bank (ECB) reported its first annual loss in nearly two decades, amounting to €1.3 billion ($1.41 billion) for 2023, as disclosed in its recent financial statement. This loss highlights a significant shift in the equity markets, with country rotation observed since 2020-21. Emerging markets are emerging as key players in this decade, mirroring the dominance of developed markets, particularly the US and Europe, from 2008-2020. The reversal

15 May 2023 This article outlines our in-depth analysis of economic indicators for Indian and global equities, with a specific focus on metals, currency, interest rates, IT, and the old economy (referring to traditional industries such as utilities, manufacturing, and energy/oil/gas companies). It also discusses the performance of emerging markets and the projected impact of inflation from 2024 to 2027. COPPER'S IMPACT ON THE STOCK MARKET: We anticipate a shift in copper's st

Identifying Opportunities in the Stock Market 7 May 2023 The global economy is always experiencing significant changes, and understanding macro cycles is key to identifying investment opportunities. In the past 13 years leading up to 2021, defensive sectors such as Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG), Pharmaceuticals, and Information Technology experienced significant growth, while cyclical sectors, including Metals, Capital Goods, Power, Infrastructure, and Public Sector Enter

17 Nov 2022 Investment Note: We plan to move approximately 40% into Equity from our total portfolio. Tentative Plan: Nifty CPSE ETF L&T Finance Holdings Ltd BHEL/Other PSE Stocks Macro Economic Set Up: Every 10-12 years we see a sector rotation in equity/global markets. From 2008 to 2022 the world economy saw a technology boom. From December 2021, NASDAQ has seen a fall of about 32%. With rising interest rates, and considering the inverse relationship between rising interest